Arouca vs Tondela 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Portugal - Season 2025/2026 (Round 34)
Arouca vs Tondela — Liga Portugal Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 34 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Tondela-18.4% Below implied probability
Arouca+16.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 50.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Tondela+24.3% Strongly above implied probability
Arouca-13.4% Below implied probability
┊ 54.4% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Tondela+19.4% Strongly above implied probability
Arouca-7.7% Near implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Tondela+13.1% Strongly above implied probability
Arouca-19.9% Below implied probability
┊ 62.4% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Tondela+10% Above implied probability
Arouca+10% Above implied probability
┊ 40.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
TondelaAroucaOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Arouca and Tondela across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Both Teams To Score predictions for Tondela hit at 68% accuracy — that's 24.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Arouca sit 19.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Arouca vs Tondela 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Arouca vs Tondela. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 44% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 46% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 6% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 15% | 5% | 13% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 3% |
| 1 | 51% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
 | 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| 1 | 44% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 46% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 6% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 15% | 5% | 13% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 3% |
| 1 | 51% | |
| X | 6% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
| 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Arouca vs Tondela — Prediction Form & Streaks
Arouca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Tondela have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Tondela well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
TondelaAroucaBoth Teams To Score
TondelaAroucaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TondelaAroucaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TondelaAroucaFirst Half Result
TondelaAroucaCorrect Score
TondelaAroucaArouca & Tondela Teams in Best Form
AroucaTondela