Meppen vs Stuttgart II 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Meppen drew despite more chances
1–1
On these chances Meppen would usually take 2.1 points and Stuttgart II 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Meppen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Meppen vs Stuttgart II stats: how the match was played
3. Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Meppen had more than twice the shots on target
Meppen
Stuttgart II
5
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
0
7
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Meppen vs Stuttgart II — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 3. Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Meppen to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 409 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Meppen ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,205 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Meppen 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Meppen 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,871 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Stuttgart II 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Meppen vs Stuttgart II 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Meppen vs Stuttgart II. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Winner
1X 62%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 52% | 48% | |
| 27% | 73% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% | |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
20%
X-1
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Meppen vs Stuttgart II — Recent Form
Meppen have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Stuttgart II have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score