Havelse vs Saarbrücken 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
3. Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Havelse3–2
SaarbrückenOn these chances Havelse would usually take 2.0 points and Saarbrücken 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Saarbrücken.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Havelse vs Saarbrücken stats: how the match was played
3. Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Havelse
Saarbrücken
6
Shots on target
7
0
Big chances
0
4
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
5
46%
Possession
54%
Havelse vs Saarbrücken — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 3. Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Saarbrücken to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 944 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
Saarbrücken ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Havelse 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Saarbrücken 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,643 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Havelse vs Saarbrücken 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Havelse vs Saarbrücken. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Havelse3
Saarbrücken2Winner
2 60%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Havelse3Saarbrücken2Winner
2 60%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 74% | 26% |
| 14% | 86% | 38% | 62% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 64% | 36% | 83% | 17% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
37%
X-2
19%
X-X
11%
1-1
9%
X-1
7%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
5%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Havelse vs Saarbrücken — Recent Form
Saarbrücken have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Havelse have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.
Last 5 matches
SaarbrückenHavelseOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SaarbrückenHavelseBoth Teams to Score
SaarbrückenHavelseOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SaarbrückenHavelseOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SaarbrückenHavelseFirst Half Result
SaarbrückenHavelseCorrect Score
SaarbrückenHavelse