Always on the scoresheet
1/10Newcastle Jets failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 23%).
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
A-League Men - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Unlucky
Macarthur are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Macarthur 29% to winNewcastle Jets 48%
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur score prediction
A-League Men
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.5 goals expected
3.5 goals in total: more goals than a typical A-League Men game (average 2.8).
goals expected
Newcastle Jets2.0
Macarthur1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · A-League Men
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Newcastle Jets to win
Our model 45%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,427 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 2,412 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 1,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.6% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 901 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,182 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Newcastle Jets Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Newcastle Jets 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,753 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Macarthur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Macarthur 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,572 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Newcastle Jets–
Macarthur–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Newcastle Jets–Macarthur–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
145%
X23%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 49% | 51% |
| 31% | 69% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
135%
X38%
227%
1st Score
154%
X4%
242%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: the stats that stand out
A-League Men
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Newcastle Jets: always on the scoresheet · Macarthur: leaky
1/10Leaky
1/10Macarthur kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 23%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
A-League Men
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 A-League Men gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNewcastle Jets and Macarthur games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the A-League Men average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Newcastle Jets6 of 10
Macarthur9 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Newcastle Jets8 of 10
Macarthur7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 163 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur form and luck check
A-League Men
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 A-League Men gamesMacarthur are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- Newcastle JetsBookmakers: 48% to win today. · 9 of 10 games+0.9
- MacarthurBookmakers: 29% to win today.−4.8
Last 5 matches
Newcastle Jets5th in table0 pts from last 5Macarthur11th in table0 pts from last 5W
D
L
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur corners, cards and goal times
A-League Men
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNewcastle Jets: last 9 with these statsMacarthur score early, Newcastle Jets late
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
4.4
Corners won · league 5.1
5.4
5.4
Corners conceded · league 5.1
4.9
1.0
Cards · league 1.9
2.2
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.3
53%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
60%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
7%
55%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
39%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →