Ried vs Rapid Vienna 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Smash-and-grab

Rapid Vienna won with fewer chances than Ried

Ried

1–2

Rapid Vienna

2.1Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Ried would usually take 1.9 points and Rapid Vienna 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Rapid Vienna.

Ried −1.9 pts vs chancesRapid Vienna +2.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ried vs Rapid Vienna stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Ried had more than twice the shots on target

Ried

Rapid Vienna

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Ried and Rapid Vienna ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Rapid Vienna win with 52% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sturm Graz – Ried prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Ried vs Rapid Vienna — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna to win

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Ried Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Rapid Vienna Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rapid Vienna 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ried vs Rapid Vienna 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ried vs Rapid Vienna. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Admiral Bundesliga - Austria

Ried1

Rapid Vienna2

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

Admiral Bundesliga - Austria

Ried1

Rapid Vienna2

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

126%

X23%

252%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	58%	42%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	40%	60%	72%	28%	91%	9%	97%	3%
	21%	79%	50%	50%	75%	25%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	40%	60%	72%	28%
	21%	79%	50%	50%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	97%	3%
	75%	25%	89%	11%

1st Half

118%

X42%

240%

1st Score

132%

X6%

262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

X-2

19%

X-X

14%

1-1

10%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

0-1

9.7%

1-2

9.2%

0-2

8.4%

1-0

6.7%

2-1

6.3%

0-0

6.1%

1-3

5.2%

2-2

5.1%

0-3

4.9%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sturm Graz – Ried prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).