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Hartberg vs Austria Wien 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
HartbergHartberg

0–2

Austria WienAustria Wien
1.1Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Hartberg would usually take 1.2 points and Austria Wien 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Austria Wien.

Hartberg −1.2 pts vs chancesAustria Wien +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hartberg vs Austria Wien stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Hartberg

Austria Wien

3

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

2

8

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

1

56%

Possession

45%

The match between Hartberg and Austria Wien ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Austria Wien win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rheindorf Altach – Austria Wien prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Hartberg vs Austria Wien — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Austria Wien to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hartberg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hartberg 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Austria Wien Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Austria Wien 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hartberg vs Austria Wien 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hartberg vs Austria Wien. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Admiral Bundesliga - Austria
HartbergHartberg0
Austria WienAustria Wien2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

129%
X26%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hartberg36%64%69%31%
Austria Wien25%75%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hartberg89%11%97%3%
Austria Wien81%19%93%7%

1st Half

122%
X43%
235%

1st Score

140%
X8%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

X-X

17%

1-1

16%

X-2

16%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

0-1

10.1%

1-2

9.2%

1-0

7.6%

0-0

7.6%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.1%

2-2

5.5%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.4%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rheindorf Altach – Austria Wien prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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