2. Leagues
  3. Admiral Bundesliga
  4. Ried vs Salzburg

Ried vs Salzburg 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Admiral Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Robbed

Salzburg drew despite more chances

RiedRied

1–1

SalzburgSalzburg
0.8Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Ried would usually take 0.4 points and Salzburg 2.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Salzburg.

Ried +0.6 pts vs chancesSalzburg −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ried vs Salzburg stats: how the match was played

Admiral Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Salzburg had more than twice the shots on target

Ried

Salzburg

2

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

4

5

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

3

32%

Possession

68%

The match between Ried and Salzburg ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Salzburg win at 61% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sturm Graz – Ried prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Ried vs Salzburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Admiral Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg to win

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Ried Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ried 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Salzburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ried vs Salzburg 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ried vs Salzburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Admiral Bundesliga - Austria
RiedRied1
SalzburgSalzburg1

Winner

2 61%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

119%
X21%
261%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ried46%54%76%24%
Salzburg15%85%40%60%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ried92%8%98%2%
Salzburg65%35%83%17%

1st Half

116%
X34%
250%

1st Score

128%
X5%
267%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

45%

X-2

17%

X-X

12%

1-1

8%

X-1

6%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-2

9.6%

1-1

9.3%

0-2

8.9%

0-1

8.9%

0-3

6.6%

1-3

6.2%

2-1

5.1%

2-2

5.0%

0-0

4.9%

1-0

4.7%

2-3

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sturm Graz – Ried prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores