Shot-shy
5/10Degerfors failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 28%).
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AIK vs Degerfors Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 29)
Wasteful
Degerfors are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−3goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Degerfors 33% to winAIK 44%
AIK vs Degerfors score prediction
Allsvenskan
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
AIK expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total, in line with the Allsvenskan average of 2.8.
goals expected
AIK1.8Degerfors1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for AIK vs Degerfors: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
AIK vs Degerfors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AIK to win
Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 2,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,417 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 1,937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.9% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
AIK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AIK 2+ goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 3,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Degerfors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Degerfors 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,356 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AIK vs Degerfors — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AIK vs Degerfors. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AIK–
Degerfors–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
AIK–Degerfors–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
153%
X24%
223%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 45% | 55% |
| 39% | 61% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
140%
X40%
220%
1st Score
160%
X5%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
16%
X-X
15%
2-2
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AIK vs Degerfors: the stats that stand out
Allsvenskan
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Degerfors: shot-shy and always chasing · AIK: leaky
5/10Always chasing
7/10Degerfors conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Leaky
1/10AIK kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →AIK vs Degerfors: attack vs defence
Allsvenskan
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Allsvenskan teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- AIK: good attack, weak defence (1.67 xG, 1.67 xGA a game)
- Degerfors: weak attack, weak defence (1.08 xG, 1.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →AIK vs Degerfors form and luck check
Allsvenskan
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Allsvenskan gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- AIKBookmakers: 44% to win today.−3.0
- DegerforsBookmakers: 33% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−3.9
Last 5 matches
AIKW
L
D
W
D
DegerforsL
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: AIK 10th of 16 · Degerfors 14th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →AIK vs Degerfors: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Allsvenskan
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Allsvenskan gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in AIK games more often than the Allsvenskan average (50%), in Degerfors games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
AIK8 of 10
Degerfors5 of 10
BTTSleague 50%
AIK9 of 10
Degerfors4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 224 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →AIK vs Degerfors corners, cards and goal times
Allsvenskan
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 1.7
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Degerfors5/5
AIK1/5
Both Teams to Score
Degerfors3/5
AIK5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Degerfors4/5
AIK5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Degerfors4/5
AIK2/5
First Half Result
Degerfors2/5
AIK2/5
Correct Score
Degerfors1/5
AIK0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction