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Malmö FF vs IFK Göteborg 4-0 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Malmö FF4–0
IFK GöteborgOn these chances Malmö FF would usually take 1.4 points and IFK Göteborg 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Malmö FF.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Malmö FF vs IFK Göteborg stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Malmö FF had more than twice the shots on target
Malmö FF
IFK Göteborg
10
Shots on target
4
5
Big chances
4
7
Corners
4
1
Yellow cards
2
62%
Possession
38%
Malmö FF vs IFK Göteborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Malmö FF 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
IFK Göteborg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Malmö FF vs IFK Göteborg 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Malmö FF vs IFK Göteborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Malmö FF4
IFK Göteborg0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Malmö FF4IFK Göteborg0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 52% | 48% |
| 28% | 72% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
20%
X-1
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score