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Hammarby vs Kalmar 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 12)

Fair result
HammarbyHammarby

2–0

KalmarKalmar
1.6Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Hammarby would usually take 1.8 points and Kalmar 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hammarby.

Hammarby +1.2 pts vs chancesKalmar −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hammarby vs Kalmar stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hammarby had more than twice the shots on target

Hammarby

Kalmar

6

Shots on target

0

3

Big chances

1

5

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

0

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Hammarby and Kalmar ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Hammarby win with 71% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Halmstad – Hammarby prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Hammarby vs Kalmar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hammarby to win

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hammarby ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Hammarby Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hammarby 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Kalmar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kalmar 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hammarby vs Kalmar 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hammarby vs Kalmar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
HammarbyHammarby2
KalmarKalmar0

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

171%
X18%
211%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hammarby12%88%36%64%
Kalmar57%43%85%15%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hammarby62%38%81%19%
Kalmar97%3%99%1%

1st Half

152%
X33%
215%

1st Score

168%
X6%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

19%

X-X

10%

2-2

7%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

12.2%

1-0

11.5%

2-1

9.7%

3-0

8.9%

1-1

8.4%

3-1

6.9%

0-0

5.5%

0-1

3.7%

2-2

3.5%

1-2

3.1%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Halmstad – Hammarby prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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