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Degerfors vs Djurgården 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 14)
Degerfors0–1
DjurgårdenOn these chances Degerfors would usually take 0.8 points and Djurgården 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Djurgården.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Degerfors vs Djurgården stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Djurgården had more than twice the shots on target
Degerfors
Djurgården
0
Shots on target
7
2
Big chances
2
6
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
1
58%
Possession
42%
Degerfors vs Djurgården — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Djurgården to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,059 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,953 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Djurgården ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,235 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Degerfors 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.3% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).
Our model’s pick
Djurgården 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Degerfors vs Djurgården 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Degerfors vs Djurgården. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Degerfors0
Djurgården1Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Degerfors0Djurgården1Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49% | 51% | 80% | 20% |
| 16% | 84% | 45% | 55% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
42%
X-2
19%
X-X
12%
1-1
8%
X-1
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score