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Malmö FF vs Degerfors 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 16)

Smash-and-grab

Degerfors won with less than half the chances

Malmö FFMalmö FF

1–2

DegerforsDegerfors
1.4Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Malmö FF would usually take 2.1 points and Degerfors 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Malmö FF.

Malmö FF −2.1 pts vs chancesDegerfors +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Malmö FF vs Degerfors stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Malmö FF

Degerfors

4

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

1

5

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

3

74%

Possession

26%

The match between Malmö FF and Degerfors ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Malmö FF win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Malmö FF – Häcken prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Malmö FF vs Degerfors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Malmö FF to win

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Malmö FF ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Malmö FF Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Malmö FF 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Degerfors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Degerfors 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Malmö FF vs Degerfors 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Malmö FF vs Degerfors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
Malmö FFMalmö FF1
DegerforsDegerfors2

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

154%
X23%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Malmö FF16%84%43%57%
Degerfors39%61%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Malmö FF70%30%87%13%
Degerfors89%11%96%4%

1st Half

144%
X37%
219%

1st Score

164%
X4%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.1%

1-1

9.9%

1-0

8.2%

2-0

7.7%

3-1

6.4%

2-2

6.3%

1-2

6.2%

3-0

5.1%

0-1

4.6%

0-0

4.5%

3-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Malmö FF – Häcken prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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