- Home
- Elfsborg vs Västerås SK
Elfsborg vs Västerås SK 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 17)
Elfsborg3–0
Västerås SKOn these chances Elfsborg would usually take 1.9 points and Västerås SK 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Elfsborg.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Elfsborg vs Västerås SK stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Elfsborg had more than twice the shots on target
Elfsborg
Västerås SK
7
Shots on target
1
2
Big chances
3
4
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
3
62%
Possession
38%
Elfsborg vs Västerås SK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Elfsborg to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,719 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Elfsborg ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Elfsborg 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Elfsborg 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Västerås SK 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Elfsborg vs Västerås SK 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Elfsborg vs Västerås SK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Elfsborg3
Västerås SK0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Elfsborg3Västerås SK0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 31% | 69% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score