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Degerfors vs IFK Göteborg 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 17)

Fair result
DegerforsDegerfors

3–0

IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg
1.4Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Degerfors would usually take 1.6 points and IFK Göteborg 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: IFK Göteborg.

Degerfors +1.4 pts vs chancesIFK Göteborg −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Degerfors vs IFK Göteborg stats: how the match was played

Allsvenskan

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Degerfors had more than twice the shots on target

Degerfors

IFK Göteborg

6

Shots on target

2

4

Big chances

0

2

Corners

14

2

Yellow cards

0

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Degerfors and IFK Göteborg ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an IFK Göteborg win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Degerfors – Kalmar prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Degerfors vs IFK Göteborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Allsvenskan

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IFK Göteborg to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Degerfors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Degerfors 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

IFK Göteborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

IFK Göteborg 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Degerfors vs IFK Göteborg 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Degerfors vs IFK Göteborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Allsvenskan - Sweden
DegerforsDegerfors3
IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg0

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

130%
X27%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Degerfors34%66%67%33%
IFK Göteborg24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Degerfors88%12%96%4%
IFK Göteborg80%20%93%7%

1st Half

125%
X41%
234%

1st Score

143%
X7%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

16%

X-X

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

0-1

9.6%

1-2

9.1%

1-0

7.7%

2-1

7.3%

0-0

6.9%

0-2

6.9%

2-2

6.0%

2-0

4.5%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Degerfors – Kalmar prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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