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Västerås SK vs Malmö FF 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 22)
Västerås SK won with fewer chances than Malmö FF
Västerås SK2–0
Malmö FFOn these chances Västerås SK would usually take 0.8 points and Malmö FF 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Malmö FF.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Västerås SK vs Malmö FF stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Västerås SK
Malmö FF
4
Shots on target
4
1
Big chances
3
3
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
0
37%
Possession
63%
Västerås SK vs Malmö FF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Västerås SK 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Malmö FF 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Västerås SK vs Malmö FF 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Västerås SK vs Malmö FF. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Västerås SK2
Malmö FF0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Västerås SK2Malmö FF0Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 68% | 32% |
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
18%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Västerås SK vs Malmö FF — Recent Form
Malmö FF have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Västerås SK have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Malmö FFVästerås SKOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Malmö FFVästerås SKBoth Teams to Score
Malmö FFVästerås SKOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Malmö FFVästerås SKOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Malmö FFVästerås SKFirst Half Result
Malmö FFVästerås SKCorrect Score
Malmö FFVästerås SK