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IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 23)
IFK Göteborg1–0
Västerås SKOn these chances IFK Göteborg would usually take 0.7 points and Västerås SK 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: IFK Göteborg.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Västerås SK had more than twice the shots on target
IFK Göteborg
Västerås SK
1
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
1
2
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
1
46%
Possession
54%
IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
IFK Göteborg to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,508 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 935 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: IFK Göteborg ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
IFK Göteborg 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Västerås SK 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
IFK Göteborg1
Västerås SK0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
IFK Göteborg1Västerås SK0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 50% | 50% |
| 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
16%
X-X
14%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
IFK Göteborg vs Västerås SK — Recent Form
IFK Göteborg have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Västerås SK have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
IFK GöteborgVästerås SKOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
IFK GöteborgVästerås SKBoth Teams to Score
IFK GöteborgVästerås SKOver/Under 2.5 Goals
IFK GöteborgVästerås SKOver/Under 3.5 Goals
IFK GöteborgVästerås SKFirst Half Result
IFK GöteborgVästerås SKCorrect Score
IFK GöteborgVästerås SK