Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Botola Pro - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Riding their luck

Ittihad Tanger are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 8 with xG

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès score prediction

Botola Pro

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Maghreb Fès expected to create clearly more

2.0 goals in total, a little under the Botola Pro average of 2.2.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès will be played on Wednesday, October 14 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 4 of the Botola Pro, played in Morocco. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger–
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès–

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

131%
X33%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%66%34%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Ittihad Tanger39%61%75%25%
Maghreb Fès35%65%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Ittihad Tanger93%7%98%2%
Maghreb Fès90%10%97%3%

1st Half

123%
X52%
225%

1st Score

139%
X13%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

26%

2-2

18%

1-1

16%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-1

14.2%

0-0

13.4%

0-1

13.2%

1-0

11.9%

1-2

7.3%

0-2

7.1%

2-1

6.2%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès: the stats that stand out

Botola Pro

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Ittihad Tanger: always chasing

Always chasing
Ittihad Tanger6/10

Ittihad Tanger conceded first in 6 of their last 10 (league 44%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès: attack vs defence

Botola Pro

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Botola Pro teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger: good attack, weak defence (1.26 xG, 1.50 xGA a game)
  • Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès: good attack, good defence (1.36 xG, 0.77 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès form and luck check

Botola Pro

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Botola Pro games

Ittihad Tanger are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Ittihad Tanger
    Ittihad Tanger8 of 10 games
    +4.0
  • Maghreb Fès
    Maghreb Fès8 of 10 games
    +2.4

Last 5 matches

Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
D
W
W
1st in table
Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
D
W
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Ittihad Tanger 8th of 14 · Maghreb Fès 4th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Botola Pro

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Botola Pro gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Maghreb Fès games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Botola Pro average (39%), Ittihad Tanger games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 39%
Ittihad Tanger3 of 10
Maghreb Fès5 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Ittihad Tanger5 of 10
Maghreb Fès6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 227 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès corners, cards and goal times

Botola Pro

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Botola Pro average

Ittihad Tanger

Maghreb Fès

5.2

Corners won · league 4.0

3.8

4.2

Corners conceded · league 4.0

3.2

2.7

Cards · league 2.5

2.4

3.0

Opponents' cards · league 2.5

3.0

42%

Goals before half-time · league 45%

46%

17%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

8%

78%

Conceded before half-time · league 45%

57%

11%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

14%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
0/2
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
1/3

Both Teams to Score

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
0/2
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
1/2
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
1/2
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
3/3

First Half Result

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
1/2
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
2/3

Correct Score

Ittihad TangerIttihad Tanger
1/2
Maghreb FèsMaghreb Fès
0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction

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Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès Score Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips, Oct 14, 2026 | MyGameOdds