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Hertha BSC vs Darmstadt 98

Hertha BSC vs Darmstadt 98 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Fair result

Hertha BSC

2–2

Darmstadt 98

1.8Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Hertha BSC would usually take 1.1 points and Darmstadt 98 1.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Hertha BSC.

Hertha BSC −0.1 pts vs chancesDarmstadt 98 −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hertha BSC vs Darmstadt 98 stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hertha BSC had clearly more shots on target

Hertha BSC

Darmstadt 98

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Hertha BSC and Darmstadt 98 ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Hertha BSC win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Darmstadt 98 – St. Pauli prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Hertha BSC vs Darmstadt 98 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Hertha BSC Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hertha BSC 2+ goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Darmstadt 98 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Darmstadt 98 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hertha BSC vs Darmstadt 98 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hertha BSC vs Darmstadt 98. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Hertha BSC2

Darmstadt 982

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Hertha BSC2

Darmstadt 982

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

141%

X27%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%	62%	38%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	60%	40%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	33%	67%	67%	33%	88%	12%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	33%	67%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	88%	12%	97%	3%

1st Half

135%

X40%

225%

1st Score

153%

X8%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

10%

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

9.7%

0-1

9.1%

2-1

8.5%

0-0

7.5%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

6.7%

2-2

5.5%

0-2

5.2%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Darmstadt 98 – St. Pauli prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).