Home
Leagues
2. Bundesliga
Osnabrück vs Magdeburg

Osnabrück vs Magdeburg 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result

Osnabrück

0–3

Magdeburg

1.4Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Osnabrück would usually take 1.1 points and Magdeburg 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Osnabrück.

Osnabrück −1.1 pts vs chancesMagdeburg +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Osnabrück vs Magdeburg stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Magdeburg had clearly more shots on target

Osnabrück

Magdeburg

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Osnabrück and Magdeburg ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Magdeburg win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: DSC Arminia Bielefeld – Osnabrück prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Osnabrück vs Magdeburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magdeburg to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Osnabrück to win.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magdeburg ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Osnabrück Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Osnabrück 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Magdeburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Magdeburg 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Osnabrück vs Magdeburg 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Osnabrück vs Magdeburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Osnabrück0

Magdeburg3

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Osnabrück0

Magdeburg3

Winner

2 50%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

128%

X22%

250%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	48%	52%	73%	27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	48%	52%	73%	27%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	35%	65%	65%	35%	85%	15%	94%	6%
	20%	80%	46%	54%	71%	29%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	35%	65%	65%	35%
	20%	80%	46%	54%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	94%	6%
	71%	29%	87%	13%

1st Half

123%

X35%

242%

1st Score

134%

X4%

262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

37%

X-2

14%

1-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.3%

1-2

9.0%

0-1

7.2%

0-2

7.0%

2-1

6.4%

2-2

6.2%

1-3

5.8%

1-0

5.0%

0-0

4.4%

2-3

4.3%

0-3

4.2%

2-0

3.5%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: DSC Arminia Bielefeld – Osnabrück prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).