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  4. Nürnberg vs Hannover 96

Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
NürnbergNürnberg

2–1

Hannover 96Hannover 96
2.6Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Nürnberg would usually take 2.0 points and Hannover 96 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Hannover 96.

Nürnberg +1.0 pts vs chancesHannover 96 −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nürnberg had more than twice the shots on target

Nürnberg

Hannover 96

8

Shots on target

2

4

Big chances

2

7

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

1

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Nürnberg and Hannover 96 ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Hannover 96 win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eintracht Braunschweig – Hannover 96 prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Nürnberg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nürnberg 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nürnberg 2+ goals.

Our model 65%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Hannover 96 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hannover 96 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nürnberg vs Hannover 96. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
2. Bundesliga - Germany
NürnbergNürnberg2
Hannover 96Hannover 961

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

127%
X22%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nürnberg36%64%65%35%
Hannover 9619%81%45%55%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nürnberg86%14%95%5%
Hannover 9670%30%86%14%

1st Half

122%
X36%
242%

1st Score

138%
X4%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-2

15%

1-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

1-2

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.6%

1-2

9.0%

0-1

7.1%

2-1

6.6%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

6.4%

1-3

5.7%

1-0

4.9%

0-3

4.6%

2-3

4.3%

0-0

3.8%

2-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Eintracht Braunschweig – Hannover 96 prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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