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Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden

Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Osnabrück

1–1

Dynamo Dresden

1.4Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Osnabrück would usually take 1.9 points and Dynamo Dresden 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Osnabrück.

Osnabrück −0.9 pts vs chancesDynamo Dresden +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Osnabrück had more than twice the shots on target

Osnabrück

Dynamo Dresden

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Dynamo Dresden win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Holstein Kiel – Dynamo Dresden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dynamo Dresden to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Osnabrück to win.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dynamo Dresden ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Osnabrück Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Osnabrück 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Dynamo Dresden Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dynamo Dresden 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Dynamo Dresden 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Osnabrück1

Dynamo Dresden1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Osnabrück1

Dynamo Dresden1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

132%

X22%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%	51%	49%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	63%	37%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	24%	76%	52%	48%	75%	25%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	63%	37%
	24%	76%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	75%	25%	89%	11%

1st Half

124%

X37%

239%

1st Score

139%

X5%

257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

16%

1-1

15%

X-X

12%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.6%

1-2

8.5%

0-1

7.6%

2-1

7.3%

1-0

6.3%

0-2

6.0%

2-2

6.0%

1-3

5.1%

0-0

4.9%

2-0

4.7%

0-3

3.8%

2-3

3.7%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden — Recent Form

Osnabrück have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Dynamo Dresden have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Osnabrück

Dynamo Dresden

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Osnabrück

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Dynamo Dresden

4/5

Osnabrück

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Dynamo Dresden

3/5

Osnabrück

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Dynamo Dresden

4/5

Osnabrück

3/5

First Half Result

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Osnabrück

2/5

Correct Score

Dynamo Dresden

1/5

Osnabrück

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Holstein Kiel – Dynamo Dresden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).