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Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Energie Cottbus1–1
NürnbergOn these chances Energie Cottbus would usually take 1.3 points and Nürnberg 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Nürnberg.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg stats: how the match was played
2. Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Energie Cottbus
Nürnberg
5
Shots on target
5
3
Big chances
2
2
Corners
8
3
Yellow cards
2
38%
Possession
62%
Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · 2. Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Nürnberg to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 253 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Nürnberg ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Energie Cottbus 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Nürnberg 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Energie Cottbus1
Nürnberg1Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Energie Cottbus1Nürnberg1Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 64% | 36% |
| 22% | 78% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 74% | 26% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
1-1
16%
X-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-1
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Energie Cottbus vs Nürnberg — Recent Form
Nürnberg have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Energie Cottbus have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
NürnbergEnergie CottbusOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NürnbergEnergie CottbusBoth Teams to Score
NürnbergEnergie CottbusOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NürnbergEnergie CottbusOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NürnbergEnergie CottbusFirst Half Result
NürnbergEnergie CottbusCorrect Score
NürnbergEnergie Cottbus