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Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

2. Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Robbed

Hertha BSC drew despite more chances

Holstein Kiel

0–0

Hertha BSC

0.6Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Holstein Kiel would usually take 0.5 points and Hertha BSC 2.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Hertha BSC.

Holstein Kiel +0.5 pts vs chancesHertha BSC −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC stats: how the match was played

2. Bundesliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hertha BSC had more than twice the shots on target

Holstein Kiel

Hertha BSC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Hertha BSC win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kaiserslautern – Hertha BSC prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 2. Bundesliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC to win

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.

Holstein Kiel Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Holstein Kiel 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Holstein Kiel 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.

Hertha BSC Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hertha BSC 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hertha BSC 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 843 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Holstein Kiel0

Hertha BSC0

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

2. Bundesliga - Germany

Holstein Kiel0

Hertha BSC0

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

131%

X24%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%	52%	48%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	64%	36%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	22%	78%	51%	49%	75%	25%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	64%	36%
	22%	78%	51%	49%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	75%	25%	89%	11%

1st Half

127%

X36%

237%

1st Score

143%

X5%

253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

18%

X-X

13%

X-2

13%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-2

8.9%

0-1

8.0%

2-1

7.4%

2-2

6.5%

1-0

6.2%

0-2

6.2%

0-0

5.0%

1-3

4.9%

2-0

3.9%

0-3

3.9%

2-3

3.4%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC — Recent Form

Hertha BSC have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Holstein Kiel have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Hertha BSC

Holstein Kiel

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hertha BSC

4/5

Holstein Kiel

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Hertha BSC

3/5

Holstein Kiel

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hertha BSC

3/5

Holstein Kiel

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hertha BSC

4/5

Holstein Kiel

5/5

First Half Result

Hertha BSC

1/5

Holstein Kiel

1/5

Correct Score

Hertha BSC

0/5

Holstein Kiel

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kaiserslautern – Hertha BSC prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).