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Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Paderborn0–2
VfB StuttgartOn these chances Paderborn would usually take 1.5 points and VfB Stuttgart 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: VfB Stuttgart.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart stats: how the match was played
Bundesliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
6
Shots on target
8
4
Big chances
6
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
0
52%
Possession
48%
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.4% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 411 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 288 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Paderborn ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,221 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Our model’s pick
Paderborn 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,824 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: VfB Stuttgart 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 853 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Paderborn0
VfB Stuttgart2Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 59%
Paderborn0VfB Stuttgart2Winner
12 77%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 12% | 88% | 30% | 70% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 41% | 59% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| 25% | 75% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
24%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
5%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form
Paderborn have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. VfB Stuttgart have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PaderbornVfB StuttgartBoth Teams to Score
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PaderbornVfB StuttgartFirst Half Result
PaderbornVfB StuttgartCorrect Score
PaderbornVfB Stuttgart