Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
Our track record
In 2,081 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 387 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 65.1%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 283 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 165 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Paderborn ahead at half-time
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Paderborn 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,773 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.7% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Paderborn–
VfB Stuttgart–Winner
X2 62%
BTTS**
Yes 69%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 71%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 60%
Paderborn–VfB Stuttgart–Winner
X2 62%
BTTS**
Yes 69%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 71%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 12% | 88% | 29% | 71% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 66% | 34% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
 | 24% | 76% | 50% | 50% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 89% | 11% |
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
23%
X-X
12%
X-2
11%
X-1
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.4%
0-1
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form
Paderborn have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. VfB Stuttgart have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PaderbornVfB StuttgartBoth Teams to Score
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PaderbornVfB StuttgartFirst Half Result
PaderbornVfB StuttgartCorrect Score
PaderbornVfB Stuttgart