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TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Bundesliga

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

TSG Hoffenheim to win

Our model 51%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 54.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,413 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 3,046 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 895 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 60.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

TSG Hoffenheim ahead at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,631 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

TSG Hoffenheim Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

TSG Hoffenheim 2+ goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Hamburger SV Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hamburger SV 0–1 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,213 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Bundesliga - Germany
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim–
Hamburger SVHamburger SV–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS**

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

151%
X23%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
TSG Hoffenheim18%82%45%55%
Hamburger SV35%65%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
TSG Hoffenheim70%30%86%14%
Hamburger SV86%14%95%5%

1st Half

140%
X36%
224%

1st Score

160%
X4%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

2-2

13%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.8%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

6.9%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

6.7%

2-0

6.5%

3-1

6.2%

0-1

4.9%

3-0

4.4%

3-2

4.0%

0-0

3.9%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — Recent Form

TSG Hoffenheim have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Hamburger SV have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
L
W
L
L
Hamburger SVHamburger SV
W
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
4/4
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
1/4

Both Teams to Score

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1/4
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
4/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
3/4
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
4/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
2/4
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
1/4

First Half Result

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
3/4
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
1/4

Correct Score

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
0/4
TSG HoffenheimTSG Hoffenheim
0/4
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

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