FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
Our track record
In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,092 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,109 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 297 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.8% of the time (bookmakers said 85.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
FC Bayern München–
RB Leipzig–Winner
1 77%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 60%
FC Bayern München–RB Leipzig–Winner
1 77%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
2-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 59% | 41% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9% | 91% | 26% | 74% |
 | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 65% | 35% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
54%
X-1
17%
X-X
7%
2-2
6%
2-1
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
2-1
7.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-1
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig — Recent Form
FC Bayern München have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. RB Leipzig have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC Bayern MünchenRB LeipzigOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenBoth Teams to Score
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenFirst Half Result
RB LeipzigFC Bayern MünchenCorrect Score
RB LeipzigFC Bayern München