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Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Crvena Zvezda had more than twice the shots on target

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Crvena Zvezda

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

The match between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Crvena Zvezda ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Crvena Zvezda win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda to win

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Crvena Zvezda ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Crvena Zvezda Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crvena Zvezda 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Crvena Zvezda 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Hapoel Be'er Sheva1

Crvena Zvezda0

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Hapoel Be'er Sheva1

Crvena Zvezda0

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

131%

X23%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	51%	49%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	64%	36%	84%	16%	94%	6%
	23%	77%	51%	49%	75%	25%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	64%	36%
	23%	77%	51%	49%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	94%	6%
	75%	25%	89%	11%

1st Half

125%

X39%

236%

1st Score

138%

X5%

257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

1-1

18%

X-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.9%

1-2

8.9%

0-1

7.6%

0-2

6.7%

1-0

6.5%

2-1

6.4%

2-2

5.7%

0-0

5.3%

1-3

5.1%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

4.0%

2-3

3.8%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score