Home
Leagues
Champions League
Olympique Lyonnais vs Sparta Praha

Olympique Lyonnais vs Sparta Praha 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Fair result

Olympique Lyonnais

3–0

Sparta Praha

2.4Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Olympique Lyonnais would usually take 2.5 points and Sparta Praha 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Olympique Lyonnais.

Olympique Lyonnais +0.5 pts vs chancesSparta Praha −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Olympique Lyonnais vs Sparta Praha stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Olympique Lyonnais had more than twice the shots on target

Olympique Lyonnais

Sparta Praha

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

56%

Possession

45%

The match between Olympique Lyonnais and Sparta Praha ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Olympique Lyonnais win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Sparta Praha — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Lyonnais to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Olympique Lyonnais ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Olympique Lyonnais Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Lyonnais 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Olympique Lyonnais 2+ goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Sparta Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Sparta Praha 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Olympique Lyonnais vs Sparta Praha. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Olympique Lyonnais3

Sparta Praha0

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Olympique Lyonnais3

Sparta Praha0

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

146%

X22%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%	50%	50%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	50%	50%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	50%	50%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	33%	67%	62%	38%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	50%	50%
	33%	67%	62%	38%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

129%

X43%

227%

1st Score

149%

X5%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

20%

X-1

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.7%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

7.5%

1-0

7.2%

2-0

6.3%

2-2

6.0%

0-1

5.9%

3-1

5.4%

0-0

4.5%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

4.0%

3-2

3.8%

1-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score