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Kairat vs Levski Sofia 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Smash-and-grab

Levski Sofia won with less than half the chances

KairatKairat

0–1

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
2.1Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Kairat would usually take 2.1 points and Levski Sofia 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Levski Sofia.

Kairat −2.1 pts vs chancesLevski Sofia +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kairat vs Levski Sofia stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Kairat had more than twice the shots on target

Kairat

Levski Sofia

7

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

2

9

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

4

55%

Possession

46%

The match between Kairat and Levski Sofia ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Kairat win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Kairat vs Levski Sofia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kairat to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Levski Sofia to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Kairat Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kairat 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Levski Sofia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Levski Sofia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kairat vs Levski Sofia 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kairat vs Levski Sofia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Champions League - Europe
KairatKairat0
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

144%
X27%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Kairat27%73%61%39%
Levski Sofia39%61%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Kairat84%16%95%5%
Levski Sofia91%9%97%3%

1st Half

131%
X45%
224%

1st Score

149%
X9%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-1

17%

X-X

17%

2-2

17%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

12.2%

0-1

9.3%

0-0

9.1%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.4%

1-2

6.5%

0-2

4.6%

2-2

4.5%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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