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Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)
Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Kauno Žalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb
6
Shots on target
6
8
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Dinamo Zagreb to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Kauno Žalgiris 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Dinamo Zagreb 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dinamo Zagreb 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Kauno Žalgiris1
Dinamo Zagreb2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Kauno Žalgiris1Dinamo Zagreb2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 37% | 63% | 71% | 29% |
 | 28% | 72% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
1-1
16%
X-X
16%
X-2
14%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score