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Celtic vs LASK Linz 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Fair result
CelticCeltic

3–0

LASK LinzLASK Linz
1.7Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Celtic would usually take 1.2 points and LASK Linz 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Celtic.

Celtic +1.8 pts vs chancesLASK Linz −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Celtic vs LASK Linz stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Celtic

LASK Linz

7

Shots on target

8

1

Big chances

2

8

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

1

65%

Possession

35%

The match between Celtic and LASK Linz ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Celtic win with 54% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting CP – LASK Linz prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

Celtic vs LASK Linz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic to win

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Celtic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

LASK Linz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

LASK Linz 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Celtic vs LASK Linz 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Celtic vs LASK Linz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Champions League - Europe
CelticCeltic3
LASK LinzLASK Linz0

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

154%
X21%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Celtic18%82%44%56%
LASK Linz38%62%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Celtic69%31%87%13%
LASK Linz87%13%95%5%

1st Half

141%
X37%
223%

1st Score

157%
X4%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-X

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.4%

1-1

9.3%

1-0

8.1%

2-0

7.6%

3-1

6.3%

2-2

6.1%

1-2

6.1%

3-0

5.3%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

4.5%

0-0

4.1%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting CP – LASK Linz prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

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