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LASK Linz vs Celtic 5-1 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

LASK Linz vs Celtic stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

LASK Linz created more than twice the chances

LASK Linz

Celtic

4.2

Chances (xG)

0.8

8

Shots on target

3

10

Big chances

1

10

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

1

47%

Possession

53%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between LASK Linz and Celtic ended 5-1. Our AI model predicted an Celtic win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting CP – LASK Linz prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

LASK Linz vs Celtic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: LASK Linz to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 25%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: LASK Linz ahead at half-time.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

LASK Linz Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

LASK Linz 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: LASK Linz 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Celtic Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Celtic 0–1 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

LASK Linz vs Celtic 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for LASK Linz vs Celtic. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Champions League - Europe
LASK LinzLASK Linz5
CelticCeltic1

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

134%
X23%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT45%55%71%29%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
LASK Linz30%70%58%42%
Celtic23%77%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
LASK Linz79%21%92%8%
Celtic74%26%88%12%

1st Half

126%
X38%
235%

1st Score

143%
X4%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

19%

X-X

14%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.2%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

7.3%

2-2

6.8%

0-1

5.9%

0-2

5.5%

1-0

5.4%

1-3

4.9%

0-0

4.1%

2-3

3.9%

3-1

3.9%

2-0

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

0-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting CP – LASK Linz prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

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