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Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb

Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Fair result

Viking

3–1

Dinamo Zagreb

2.3Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Viking would usually take 1.6 points and Dinamo Zagreb 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Viking.

Viking +1.4 pts vs chancesDinamo Zagreb −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Viking had more than twice the shots on target

Viking

Dinamo Zagreb

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

37%

Possession

63%

The match between Viking and Dinamo Zagreb ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Viking win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking to win

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 67%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,960 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 36%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 1,959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Viking Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Dinamo Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Viking3

Dinamo Zagreb1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Viking3

Dinamo Zagreb1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

145%

X23%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	57%	43%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	55%	45%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	35%	65%	65%	35%	85%	15%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	55%	45%
	35%	65%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	85%	15%	94%	6%

1st Half

131%

X35%

233%

1st Score

146%

X6%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

1-1

22%

X-1

13%

X-X

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

1-0

9.1%

2-1

8.2%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

7.4%

0-1

6.4%

0-0

5.5%

2-2

5.5%

3-0

5.0%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score