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Sporting CP vs Manchester United

Sporting CP vs Manchester United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)

Brick wall

Sporting CP kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).

4/10Clean sheets · Sporting CP

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Sporting CP vs Manchester United: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Sporting CP vs Manchester United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,451 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,308 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,993 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP ahead at half-time

Our model 51%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Sporting CP Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP 2+ goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,897 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 40.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.5% than to our 50–55%.

Manchester United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Manchester United 0–1 goals

Our model 74%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,357 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.0% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Sporting CP vs Manchester United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sporting CP vs Manchester United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Champions League - Europe

Sporting CP–

Manchester United–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Champions League - Europe

Sporting CP–

Manchester United–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

155%

X22%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	56%	44%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	47%	53%	71%	29%	86%	14%
	44%	56%	74%	26%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	47%	53%
	44%	56%	74%	26%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	71%	29%	86%	14%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

151%

X33%

216%

1st Score

167%

X6%

227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

19%

X-X

10%

2-2

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

9.9%

1-0

9.2%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.3%

0-1

6.7%

0-0

6.1%

3-0

5.7%

1-2

5.5%

3-1

5.2%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sporting CP vs Manchester United: the stats that stand out

Champions League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sporting CP: brick wall

Brick wall

4/10

Sporting CP kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Sporting CP vs Manchester United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sporting CP games less often than the Champions League average (60%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 69%

Sporting CP6 of 10

BTTSleague 60%

Sporting CP4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Sporting CP vs Manchester United corners, cards and goal times

Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro

Corners won: league 4.8
Cards: league 1.8
Goals before half-time: league 42%
Goals after 75': league 20%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting CP

3/4

Manchester United

3/4

Both Teams to Score

Sporting CP

2/4

Manchester United

2/4

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting CP

2/4

Manchester United

2/4

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting CP

2/4

Manchester United

1/4

First Half Result

Sporting CP

2/4

Manchester United

0/4

Correct Score

Sporting CP

0/4

Manchester United

0/4

correct predictionwrong prediction