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LASK Linz vs Liverpool 3-6 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result

LASK Linz

3–6

Liverpool

1.4Chances (xG)2.7

On these chances LASK Linz would usually take 0.7 points and Liverpool 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Liverpool.

LASK Linz −0.7 pts vs chancesLiverpool +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

LASK Linz vs Liverpool stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Liverpool had more than twice the shots on target

LASK Linz

Liverpool

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

35%

Possession

65%

The match between LASK Linz and Liverpool ended 3-6. Our AI model correctly predicted an Liverpool win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: LASK Linz – Slovan Bratislava prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).

LASK Linz vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Liverpool ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

LASK Linz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

LASK Linz 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Liverpool Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liverpool 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Liverpool 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

LASK Linz vs Liverpool 3-6 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for LASK Linz vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

LASK Linz3

Liverpool6

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

LASK Linz3

Liverpool6

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

134%

X22%

244%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%	53%	47%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	61%	39%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	24%	76%	53%	47%	77%	23%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	61%	39%
	24%	76%	53%	47%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	77%	23%	91%	9%

1st Half

132%

X41%

227%

1st Score

150%

X5%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

22%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.8%

1-2

9.0%

2-1

7.9%

0-1

7.7%

0-2

6.4%

1-0

6.2%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

4.7%

1-3

4.6%

2-0

4.5%

0-3

3.9%

3-1

3.6%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

LASK Linz vs Liverpool — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

LASK Linz

3/5

Liverpool

3/3

Both Teams to Score

LASK Linz

3/5

Liverpool

3/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

LASK Linz

4/5

Liverpool

3/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

LASK Linz

2/5

Liverpool

1/3

First Half Result

LASK Linz

2/5

Liverpool

1/3

Correct Score

LASK Linz

0/5

Liverpool

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: LASK Linz – Slovan Bratislava prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).