2. Leagues
  3. Championship
  4. Preston North End vs Bristol City

Preston North End vs Bristol City 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Preston North EndPreston North End

1–3

Bristol CityBristol City
1.8Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Preston North End would usually take 1.6 points and Bristol City 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Bristol City.

Preston North End −1.6 pts vs chancesBristol City +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Preston North End vs Bristol City stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bristol City had clearly more shots on target

Preston North End

Bristol City

4

Shots on target

7

3

Big chances

3

5

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

0

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Preston North End and Bristol City ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Bristol City win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Preston North End prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Preston North End vs Bristol City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Preston North End Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Preston North End 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Preston North End vs Bristol City 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Preston North End vs Bristol City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
Preston North EndPreston North End1
Bristol CityBristol City3

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

129%
X29%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Preston North End39%61%74%26%
Bristol City29%71%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Preston North End92%8%98%2%
Bristol City86%14%95%5%

1st Half

124%
X46%
230%

1st Score

142%
X10%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

18%

X-2

17%

1-1

16%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

0-1

12.8%

0-0

10.4%

1-0

9.8%

1-2

8.2%

0-2

8.1%

2-1

6.4%

2-0

5.2%

2-2

4.5%

1-3

3.6%

0-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Stoke City – Preston North End prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores