Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Burnley vs Middlesbrough — Championship Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 4 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.1% implied
Middlesbrough66.7%2/3+58.4%Strongly above implied probability
Burnley66.7%2/3+58.4%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Middlesbrough66.7%2/3+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityBurnley66.7%2/3+22.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Middlesbrough33.3%1/3-38.2%Below implied probabilityBurnley66.7%2/3+23.7%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.3% implied
Middlesbrough66.7%2/3+10.6%Strongly above implied probabilityBurnley0%0/3-100%Below implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Middlesbrough33.3%1/3-11.7%Below implied probabilityBurnley33.3%1/3-11.7%Below implied probabilityMiddlesbrough0/3Burnley0/3Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Burnley and Middlesbrough across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Middlesbrough hit at 67% accuracy — that's 58.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Burnley sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Burnley vs Middlesbrough — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Burnley vs Middlesbrough. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Burnley–
Middlesbrough–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Burnley–Middlesbrough–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 68% | 32% |
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
35%
X-2
15%
X-X
14%
1-1
13%
X-1
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Burnley vs Middlesbrough — Prediction Form & Streaks
Middlesbrough have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Burnley have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 22th in the table.
MiddlesbroughBurnleyMiddlesbroughBurnleyMiddlesbroughBurnleyMiddlesbroughBurnleyMiddlesbroughBurnleyMiddlesbroughBurnleyBurnley & Middlesbrough Teams in Best Form
MiddlesbroughBurnley