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Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Blackburn Rovers

3–1

Millwall

1.5Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Blackburn Rovers would usually take 1.0 points and Millwall 1.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Blackburn Rovers.

Blackburn Rovers +2.0 pts vs chancesMillwall −1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Blackburn Rovers had more than twice the shots on target

Blackburn Rovers

Millwall

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Blackburn Rovers and Millwall ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Millwall win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Portsmouth – Millwall prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millwall to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Blackburn Rovers to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 79%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Blackburn Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackburn Rovers 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 76%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Millwall Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millwall 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Blackburn Rovers3

Millwall1

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT

Championship - England

Blackburn Rovers3

Millwall1

Winner

X2 74%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

126%

X28%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%	69%	31%	90%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	69%	31%	90%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	41%	59%	76%	24%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	27%	73%	61%	39%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	41%	59%	76%	24%
	27%	73%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

124%

X46%

230%

1st Score

139%

X10%

251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

19%

X-2

17%

1-1

15%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

13.1%

1-1

12.9%

0-0

10.2%

1-2

9.2%

1-0

9.0%

0-2

8.8%

2-1

6.3%

2-2

4.4%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

4.0%

1-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Portsmouth – Millwall prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).