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Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bolton Wanderers to win

Our model 49%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 4,892 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 1,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 39.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.4%).

Bolton Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bolton Wanderers 0–1 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,521 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Stoke City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Stoke City 0–1 goals

Our model 71%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Championship - England

Bolton Wanderers–

Stoke City–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Championship - England

Bolton Wanderers–

Stoke City–

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

149%

X25%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%	59%	41%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	46%	54%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	59%	41%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	38%	62%	71%	29%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	51%	49%
	38%	62%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

138%

X40%

222%

1st Score

156%

X6%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

17%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.2%

0-1

6.7%

1-2

6.5%

0-0

6.2%

2-2

5.6%

3-1

5.0%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City — Recent Form

Stoke City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Bolton Wanderers have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Stoke City

Bolton Wanderers

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Bolton Wanderers

3/5

Stoke City

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Bolton Wanderers

3/5

Stoke City

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Bolton Wanderers

4/5

Stoke City

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Bolton Wanderers

1/5

Stoke City

4/5

First Half Result

Bolton Wanderers

3/5

Stoke City

1/5

Correct Score

Bolton Wanderers

0/5

Stoke City

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction