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Baník Ostrava vs Líšeň 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Baník Ostrava1–0
LíšeňOn these chances Baník Ostrava would usually take 1.3 points and Líšeň 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Baník Ostrava.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Baník Ostrava vs Líšeň stats: how the match was played
Chance Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Baník Ostrava
Líšeň
4
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
2
2
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
50%
Possession
50%
Baník Ostrava vs Líšeň — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Chance Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Baník Ostrava to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Baník Ostrava ahead at half-time.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Baník Ostrava 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Baník Ostrava 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Líšeň 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Baník Ostrava vs Líšeň 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Baník Ostrava vs Líšeň. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Baník Ostrava1
Líšeň0Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Baník Ostrava1Líšeň0Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
22%
X-1
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score