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Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha

0–3

Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1.9Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Sparta Praha would usually take 1.8 points and Slavia Praha 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Slavia Praha.

Sparta Praha −1.8 pts vs chancesSlavia Praha +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sparta Praha

Slavia Praha

5

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

4

13

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

2

71%

Possession

29%

The match between Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Sparta Praha win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Baník Ostrava – Sparta Praha prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Slavia Praha to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Sparta Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Slavia Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slavia Praha 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Chance Liga - Czech Republic
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha0
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha3

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

144%
X27%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sparta Praha21%79%51%49%
Slavia Praha32%68%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sparta Praha76%24%90%10%
Slavia Praha85%15%95%5%

1st Half

134%
X39%
228%

1st Score

151%
X5%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-X

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

9%

2-X

7%

1-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

2-1

9.3%

1-0

7.7%

2-2

7.4%

1-2

7.1%

2-0

6.0%

0-1

5.5%

0-0

5.2%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

3.9%

3-0

3.9%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Baník Ostrava – Sparta Praha prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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