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Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec

Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Zbrojovka Brno

0–1

Jablonec

0.9Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Zbrojovka Brno would usually take 0.9 points and Jablonec 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Zbrojovka Brno.

Zbrojovka Brno −0.9 pts vs chancesJablonec +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Jablonec had more than twice the shots on target

Zbrojovka Brno

Jablonec

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Zbrojovka Brno and Jablonec ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Zbrojovka Brno win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jablonec – Slavia Praha prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,208 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,994 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 41%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Zbrojovka Brno Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,830 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Jablonec Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jablonec 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Zbrojovka Brno0

Jablonec1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Zbrojovka Brno0

Jablonec1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

152%

X25%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	60%	40%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	50%	50%	76%	24%	91%	9%
	40%	60%	73%	27%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	50%	50%
	40%	60%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	91%	9%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

138%

X41%

221%

1st Score

158%

X7%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

11.1%

2-1

10.3%

2-0

8.5%

0-0

6.7%

0-1

6.0%

1-2

5.8%

2-2

5.2%

3-0

5.2%

3-1

4.9%

3-2

3.2%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Zbrojovka Brno vs Jablonec — Recent Form

Zbrojovka Brno have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Jablonec have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Zbrojovka Brno

Jablonec

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Zbrojovka Brno

2/5

Jablonec

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Zbrojovka Brno

3/5

Jablonec

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Zbrojovka Brno

2/5

Jablonec

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Zbrojovka Brno

4/5

Jablonec

4/5

First Half Result

Zbrojovka Brno

1/5

Jablonec

2/5

Correct Score

Zbrojovka Brno

0/5

Jablonec

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jablonec – Slavia Praha prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).