1. Benfica II vs Al Nassr

Benfica II vs Al Nassr 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Club Friendlies - Season 2026 Regular Season (Qualifying)

The match between Benfica II and Al Nassr ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Al Nassr win at 71% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Benfica II vs Al Nassr — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Club Friendlies

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr to win

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Benfica II Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benfica II 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Al Nassr Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Benfica II vs Al Nassr 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Benfica II vs Al Nassr. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Benfica IIBenfica II2
Al NassrAl Nassr1

Winner

2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-2 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

112%
X17%
271%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Benfica II55%45%83%17%
Al Nassr11%89%33%67%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Benfica II95%5%99%1%
Al Nassr59%41%80%20%

1st Half

115%
X38%
247%

1st Score

125%
X5%
270%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

43%

X-2

19%

X-X

13%

1-1

7%

X-1

5%

1-2

4%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-2

10.6%

1-2

10.3%

0-3

9.5%

0-1

9.5%

1-1

7.4%

1-3

7.3%

0-0

5.1%

2-2

3.8%

2-1

3.8%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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