Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 8th Finals (Knock Out)

The match between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Palmeiras win at 59% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Palmeiras – LDU Quito prediction & betting tips (Sep 9, 2026).

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño — Copa Libertadores Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · 8th Finals

Full-Time Result

42.9% implied

Palmeiras50%4/8+16.6%Strongly above implied probability
Cerro Porteño50%4/8+16.6%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Palmeiras37.5%3/8-31.1%Below implied probability
Cerro Porteño50%4/8-8.1%Near implied probability
Palmeiras75%6/8+38.9%Strongly above implied probability
Cerro Porteño100%8/8+85.2%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.7% implied

Palmeiras87.5%7/8+44.2%Strongly above implied probability
Cerro Porteño100%8/8+64.7%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.1% implied

Palmeiras37.5%3/8-1.6%Near implied probability
Cerro Porteño62.5%5/8+64%Strongly above implied probability
Palmeiras12.5%1/8
Cerro Porteño25%2/8

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Cerro Porteño hit at 100% accuracy — that's 85.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 54%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Palmeiras sit 31.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PalmeirasPalmeiras1
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

159%
X23%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Palmeiras19%81%50%51%
Cerro Porteño49%51%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Palmeiras76%25%90%10%
Cerro Porteño95%5%99%1%

1st Half

139%
X42%
218%

1st Score

161%
X8%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

13.4%

2-0

11.5%

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

7.8%

3-0

6.8%

0-1

6.7%

3-1

5.2%

1-2

4.6%

2-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño — Prediction Form & Streaks

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Cerro Porteño well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 in a row
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1 in a row
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
PalmeirasPalmeiras
2 in a row
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño
5 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
PalmeirasPalmeiras
2 in a row
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño
5 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
PalmeirasPalmeiras
0 in a row
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
PalmeirasPalmeiras
0 in a row
Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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