Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 8th Finals (Knock Out)

The match between Olimpia and Vasco da Gama ended 1-4. Our AI model predicted a Olimpia win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Santa Fe – Vasco da Gama prediction & betting tips (Sep 8, 2026).

Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama — Copa Sudamericana Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · 8th Finals

Full-Time Result

42.2% implied

Vasco da Gama40%4/10-5.2%Near implied probability
Olimpia55.6%5/9+31.8%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Vasco da Gama40%4/10-26.5%Below implied probability
Olimpia22.2%2/9-59.2%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.7% implied

Vasco da Gama20%2/10-62.8%Below implied probability
Olimpia44.4%4/9-17.3%Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.1% implied

Vasco da Gama70%7/10+16.5%Strongly above implied probability
Olimpia66.7%6/9+11%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

37.7% implied

Vasco da Gama30%3/10-20.4%Below implied probability
Olimpia44.4%4/9+17.8%Strongly above implied probability
Vasco da Gama0%0/10
Olimpia0%0/9

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Olimpia and Vasco da Gama across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Olimpia hit at 56% accuracy — that's 31.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Vasco da Gama sit 62.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
OlimpiaOlimpia1
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama4

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

147%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Olimpia25%75%58%42%
Vasco da Gama40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Olimpia82%18%94%6%
Vasco da Gama92%8%98%2%

1st Half

134%
X46%
220%

1st Score

158%
X9%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

20%

X-X

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

12.1%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

8.6%

2-0

8.6%

0-1

8.3%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

4.5%

3-0

4.4%

0-2

4.2%

3-1

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
OlimpiaOlimpia
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
OlimpiaOlimpia
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
OlimpiaOlimpia
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
OlimpiaOlimpia
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
OlimpiaOlimpia
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
OlimpiaOlimpia
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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