- Home
- Pisa vs Empoli
Pisa vs Empoli 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Coppa Italia - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Pisa vs Empoli stats: how the match was played
Coppa Italia
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Pisa created clearly more chances
Pisa
Empoli
1.3
Chances (xG)
0.8
5
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
1
4
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
3
60%
Possession
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Pisa vs Empoli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Coppa Italia
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Empoli to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Pisa to win.
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pisa ahead at half-time.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Pisa 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Pisa 2+ goals.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Empoli 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Pisa vs Empoli 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pisa vs Empoli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Pisa1
Empoli1Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Pisa1Empoli1Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 70% | 30% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% |
 | 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
X-X
21%
X-2
17%
1-1
14%
X-1
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score