1. Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Fair result
Hansa RostockHansa Rostock

0–4

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1.1Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Hansa Rostock would usually take 0.8 points and VfB Stuttgart 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: VfB Stuttgart.

Hansa Rostock −0.8 pts vs chancesVfB Stuttgart +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart stats: how the match was played

DFB Pokal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Hansa Rostock

VfB Stuttgart

6

Shots on target

8

1

Big chances

3

4

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

1

24%

Possession

76%

The match between Hansa Rostock and VfB Stuttgart ended 0-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an VfB Stuttgart win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Paderborn – VfB Stuttgart prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · DFB Pokal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart to win

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 3.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 178 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 36%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Hansa Rostock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hansa Rostock 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

VfB Stuttgart Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfB Stuttgart 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hansa Rostock vs VfB Stuttgart. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Hansa RostockHansa Rostock0
VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart4

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 67%

Correct Score

1-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 60%

Full Time

135%
X21%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%29%71%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT40%60%65%35%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hansa Rostock32%68%57%43%
VfB Stuttgart23%77%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hansa Rostock78%22%91%9%
VfB Stuttgart69%31%83%17%

1st Half

128%
X36%
236%

1st Score

142%
X3%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

1-1

19%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

8.2%

1-2

7.3%

2-1

7.2%

2-2

6.7%

1-0

4.8%

0-1

4.6%

0-2

4.4%

1-3

4.3%

3-1

4.1%

3-2

3.9%

2-0

3.8%

0-0

3.4%

2-3

3.3%

0-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Paderborn – VfB Stuttgart prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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