2. Leagues
  3. DFB Pokal
  4. Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg

Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg stats: how the match was played

DFB Pokal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Viktoria Köln created clearly more chances

Viktoria Köln

Nürnberg

2.4

Chances (xG)

1.3

6

Shots on target

5

6

Big chances

2

8

Corners

7

3

Yellow cards

2

46%

Possession

54%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between Viktoria Köln and Nürnberg ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Nürnberg win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Nürnberg prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · DFB Pokal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nürnberg to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nürnberg ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Viktoria Köln Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Köln 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Nürnberg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nürnberg 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viktoria Köln vs Nürnberg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
DFB Pokal - Germany
Viktoria KölnViktoria Köln1
NürnbergNürnberg1

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

127%
X22%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT45%55%70%30%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Viktoria Köln39%61%66%34%
Nürnberg21%79%45%55%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Viktoria Köln86%14%95%5%
Nürnberg68%32%83%17%

1st Half

124%
X37%
239%

1st Score

138%
X5%
257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

1-1

17%

X-2

15%

X-X

14%

X-1

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.0%

1-2

7.7%

0-1

6.5%

2-2

6.4%

2-1

6.2%

0-2

6.1%

1-3

5.8%

1-0

5.1%

0-0

4.9%

0-3

4.0%

2-0

3.7%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Nürnberg prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores