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Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg 3-3 Score & Prediction Review

DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg stats: how the match was played

DFB Pokal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

VfL Wolfsburg created more than twice the chances

Altglienicke

VfL Wolfsburg

1.1

Chances (xG)

3.6

5

Shots on target

17

3

Big chances

2

3

Corners

16

2

Yellow cards

2

25%

Possession

75%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between Altglienicke and VfL Wolfsburg ended 3-3. Our AI model predicted an VfL Wolfsburg win at 66% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · DFB Pokal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfL Wolfsburg to win

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.6% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfL Wolfsburg ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Altglienicke Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Altglienicke 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 76%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

VfL Wolfsburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

VfL Wolfsburg 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,276 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
DFB Pokal - Germany
AltglienickeAltglienicke3
VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3

Winner

2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 60%

Full Time

117%
X16%
266%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%29%71%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT40%60%62%38%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Altglienicke51%49%76%24%
VfL Wolfsburg13%87%32%68%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Altglienicke91%9%97%3%
VfL Wolfsburg54%46%72%28%

1st Half

120%
X31%
249%

1st Score

134%
X3%
262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

42%

X-2

18%

1-1

11%

X-X

10%

X-1

7%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

8.6%

0-2

7.2%

1-1

7.1%

1-3

6.6%

0-3

6.5%

0-1

6.0%

2-2

4.7%

2-1

4.5%

2-3

3.9%

0-0

3.3%

1-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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