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Verl vs Hamburger SV

Verl vs Hamburger SV 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)

Fair result

Verl

0–3

Hamburger SV

1.2Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Verl would usually take 1.2 points and Hamburger SV 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hamburger SV.

Verl −1.2 pts vs chancesHamburger SV +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Verl vs Hamburger SV stats: how the match was played

DFB Pokal

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hamburger SV had clearly more shots on target

Verl

Hamburger SV

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Verl and Hamburger SV ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Verl win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 2.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hamburger SV – Eintracht Frankfurt prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Verl vs Hamburger SV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · DFB Pokal

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Verl to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hamburger SV to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 11%

Our track record

In 1,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 178 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hamburger SV ahead at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,231 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).

Verl Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Verl 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Hamburger SV Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hamburger SV 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hamburger SV 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 25%

Our track record

In 847 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Verl vs Hamburger SV 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Verl vs Hamburger SV. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

DFB Pokal - Germany

Verl0

Hamburger SV3

Winner

1X 62%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

DFB Pokal - Germany

Verl0

Hamburger SV3

Winner

1X 62%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

140%

X22%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	14%	86%	33%	67%	45%	55%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	14%	86%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	52%	48%	76%	24%	89%	11%
	28%	72%	54%	46%	77%	23%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	52%	48%
	28%	72%	54%	46%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	89%	11%
	77%	23%	91%	9%

1st Half

136%

X37%

227%

1st Score

150%

X3%

247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

23%

X-1

14%

X-X

11%

X-2

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.1%

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.7%

2-2

7.0%

0-1

5.4%

1-0

5.4%

2-0

4.8%

0-2

4.6%

1-3

4.3%

3-1

4.3%

2-3

3.9%

3-2

3.7%

0-0

3.5%

3-0

3.2%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hamburger SV – Eintracht Frankfurt prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).